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2008
Presidential Election Survey Results - JuLY 20, 2008
Below are the results of a survey that completed on
July 20, 2008 to 110,000 homes in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida,
Minnesota, Missouri, New Hampshire, New York, North Carolina, Ohio and
Pennsylvania (10,000 homes per state) regarding the 2008 presidential
election.
Candidates mentioned in this survey were John McCain and Barack Obama.
Order of preference for those who intend to vote in the 2008 General Election:
- Voting for Barack Obama
= 42.20%
- Voting for John McCain = 40.68%
- No Preference = 17.13%
- 19,039 live respondents answered one or more questions. This is 17.31%
of all households.
- 9,024 live respondents completed the entire survey. This is 8.20%
of all households.
| Question |
Percent Responding "Yes" |
| Registered? |
82.61% |
| Vote Influenced by Age? |
17.16% |
| Vote Influenced by Race? |
3.95% |
| Republican? |
41.28% |
| Democrat? |
35.28% |
| Undecided or Expressed
no Party Affiliation. |
23.44% |
| Blame Enviromental Regulations for Gas Prices? |
44.17% |
| Blame Oil Companies for High Gas Prices? |
65.74% |
| Anti-Tax? |
77.12% |
| Support U.S. efforts in Iraq? |
52.94% |
| Illegal Immigration Problem in U.S.? |
84.34% |
| Pro-Life? |
57.28% |
| Support Traditional Marriage? |
61.84% |
| Optimistic about the economy? |
42.56% |
| Member of MoveOn.org? |
2.99% |
| Historical Contributor? |
74.16% |
| Male? |
38.30% |
| 35 Years of Age or Older? |
86.21% |
Summary:
- Barack Obama
is winning the total vote against John
McCain in the states targeted in this survey by 1.52%.
- Head-to-head, John McCain wins 5 of the states surveyed (AZ, FL, MO,
OH and PA). This represents
89 Electoral College Votes.
- Head-to-head, Barack Obama wins 6 of the states surveyed (CA, CO,
MN, NC, NH and NY). This
represents 124 Electoral College Votes.
- States with the highest percent response where age
mattered in who a respondent voted for were NC (20.41%), NY (20.00%),
NH (19.51%) and FL (4.63%).
- States with the highest percent response where race
mattered in who a respondent voted for were AZ (62.34%), CA (56.97%),
and FL (65.91%).
State by State Results - July 20, 2008, 10 State Survey:
- Arizona - 1,639 respondents. John McCain has 50.45% of the
vote.. Barack Obama has 32.73% of the vote. The margin for John McCain
is 17.72%. 16.82% of the vote is undecided. 49.69% of respondents were
Republican, 26.95% were Democrats and 23.35% had no party preference.
-
California - 1,465 respondents. Barack Obama has 43.43% of
the vote. John McCain has 36.86% of the vote. The margin for Barack
Obama is 6.57%. 19.71% of the vote is undecided. 40.05% of respondents
were Republican, 39.28% were Democrats and 20.67% had no party preference.
- Colorado - 1,885 respondents. Barack Obama has 42.32% of the
vote. John McCain has 41.82% of the vote. The margin for Barack Obama
is 0.50%. 15.86% of the vote is undecided. 40.28% of respondents were
Republican, 33.48% were Democrats and 26.24% had no party preference.
- Florida - 1,433 respondents. John McCain has 47.38% of the
vote. Barack Obama has 35.75% of the vote. The margin for John McCain
is 11.63%. 16.87% of the vote is undecided. 49.06% of respondents were
Republican, 31.82% were Democrats and 19.12% had no party prefer-ence.
- Minnesota - 2,165 respondents. Barack Obama has 43.99% of
the vote. John McCain has 38.92% of the vote. The margin for Barack
Obama is 5.07%. 17.09% of the vote is undecided. 34.27% of respondents
were Republican, 35.47% were Democrats and 30.26% had no party preference.
- Missouri - 1,713 respondents. John McCain has 43.68% of the
vote. Barack Obama has 40.51% of the vote. The margin for John McCain
is 3.17%. 15.81% of the vote is undecided. 39.92% of respondents were
Republican, 33.93% were Democrats and 26.16% had no party preference.
- North Carolina - 1,587 respondents. Barack Obama has 42.96%
of the vote. John McCain has 41.49% of the vote. The margin for Barack
Obama is 1.47%. 15.55% of the vote is undecided. 40.32% of respondents
were Republican, 38.85% were Democrats and 20.83% had no party preference.
- New Hampshire - 1,501 respondents. Barack Obama has 43.17%
of the vote. John McCain has 40.82% of the vote. The margin for Barack
Obama is 2.35%. 16.01% of the vote is undecided. 37.35% of respondents
were Republican, 29.24% were Democrats and 33.41% had no party preference.
- New York - 1,694 respondents. Barack Obama has 45.18% of the
vote. John McCain has 37.01% of the vote. The margin for Barack Obama
is 8.17%. 17.81% of the vote is undecided. 37.11% of respondents were
Republican, 40.70% were Democrats and 22.20% had no party preference.
- Ohio - 1,950 respondents. John McCain has 44.64% of the vote.
Barack Obama has 36.12% of the vote. The margin for John McCain is 8.52%.
19.24% of the vote is undecided. 44.33% of respondents were Republican,
34.90% were Democrats and 20.77% had no party preference.
- Pennsylvania - 2,007 respondents. John McCain has 41.28% of
the vote. Barack Obama has 41.08% of the vote. The margin for John McCain
is 0.20%. 17.64% of the vote is undecided. 43.35% of respondents were
Republican, 42.83% were Democrats and 13.82% had no party preference.
To request a more detailed breakdown of the results, including a State by
State summary and a Respondent Candidate Preference by Issues summary, or
if you have any questions or comments regarding these results, please contact
us.
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